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2027 Property Outlook: Costa del Sol

Prices, rents, regulation, financing and three scenarios for the year ahead, for Marbella, Benahavís, Estepona and the wider coast. Evidence cut-off 24 October 2026; every figure dated and sourced.

  • Where transaction and asking prices diverge, and why
  • Buyers by nationality, supply pipeline and rental markets
  • The 2025–2027 regulation timeline for owners and holiday lets
  • Euribor, mortgages and the financing outlook
  • Downside, base and upside scenarios, with the signals to watch
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Inside the report

Six questions for 2027

01

Prices

What do transaction, appraisal and asking-price series say, and where do they disagree?

02

Buyers

Volumes, new-build versus resale, and which nationalities are growing.

03

Rentals

Long-term rents, holiday-let performance and the rise of mid-term letting.

04

Regulation

A dated timeline of regional, national and municipal measures, and their status.

05

Financing

The rate path, Euribor and mortgage conditions for residents and non-residents.

06

Scenarios

Downside, base and upside for 2027, with the indicators that would signal each.

Written for

Three readers, one evidence base

Buyers

What the evidence says about timing, price and the questions to resolve before committing in 2027.

Holiday-rental owners

How regulation, demand and costs could change the owner result next year.

Portfolio investors

Financing, concentration and the indicators worth tracking across holdings.

Research and analysis to support decisions. Not financial, legal or tax advice. Scenarios are not forecasts or guarantees.